[Discuss] Google's Nexus 7

[jay at lentecs.com (Jason Normand)]

Far as I can tell apple was in the same possition 30 years ago as they are
today. King of the personal tech world, everybody thinking no one can touch
them.  They have the same mentality now as they did then, control
everything.  Only time will tell if they have learned from their past. But
Google is in the same boat Microsoft was then.  Plus Google has a small
armada to support that boat.
On Jul 11, 2012 12:54 PM, "Richard Pieri" <richard.pieri at gmail.com> wrote:

> On 7/11/2012 9:52 AM, Stephen Ronan wrote:
>
>> One reason I asked... my impression (pls correct me if I'm wrong) is
>> that you think that iPad's dominant position in 10" tablets is quite
>> secure.
>>
>
> I do.  I don't think that Jellybean is going to unseat iPad in that
> space for one simple reason: iOS has never been technically superior to
> Android.  It doesn't matter how much better Jellybean is to either iOS
> or prior versions of Android because the technical superiority of the OS
> has never been a factor in the public's eye.  Consumers don't care about
> technical superiority.  They care about convenience first and maybe
> affordability second.  Cases in point:
>
> VHS vs. Betamax:  VHS won for the simple reason that you could get 2-4
> times as much recording time per cassette than you got with Betamax.
>
> Blu-ray vs. HD-DVD: Streaming beat them both because of the convenience
> and instant gratification of click and watch within a few seconds.
>
> Consoles vs. PCs: Consoles keep beating PCs for gaming because of the
> convenience that the gaming appliances offer: no need to worry about
> hardware compatibility or viruses or anything.  Just push a button and play.
>
> Silly Ungainly Vehicles vs. everything else on the roads: 'nuff said.
>
> iOS is doing the same thing in the mobile spaces.  Sure, Google activates
> twice as many Android devices a day as Apple activates iOS devices.  That
> makes for a nice press release but it's not the whole story.  The most
> recent figures I can find (Feb 2012) place HTC at about 16% of all Android
> activations daily, Samsung at about 11% and Motorola at about 10.5%.  Apple
> is beating the top three Android OEMs combined in terms of activations per
> day.
>
>
>  If you've still got your crystal ball handy, Richard (or anyone
>> else), how long do you think it'll be before we see a sub-$200 tablet
>> able to do voice to voice language translation, including at least
>> one pair of languages offline. As a monolingual guy living and
>> working in multicultural neighborhoods, that'd be a very appealing
>> app for me.
>>
>
> Twenty years?  Conversational voice recognition is hard.  Really, really
> hard.  It's one of the most challenging problems in computer programming.
>  Machine translation isn't much easier.  Run this message through Google's
> translator to the language of your choice and then back to English and
> you'll see how the best in the world fails.
>
> --
> Rich P.
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