End of Moore's law?

[Jerry Natowitz]

This brings up a somewhat new point.  Looking at data comm 
infrastructure, what has been the relationship between Moore's Law and 
speed and capacity of switching fabric?  When I was involved in that 
segment, about 10 years ago, fat pipe switches/routers were built with 
state of the art technology custom ASICS.  When manufacturing processes 
shrunk, the ASICS were often die shrunk, with varying results.  Have 
they been able to re-work ASICS for higher speeds, or is bleeding edge 
networking still reinventing the wheel every time wire speeds increase?

	Jerry Natowitz
	j.natowitz (at) rcn.com


Rich Braun wrote:
>> On Sun, Jul 11, 2010 at 12:24:01PM -0400, Rich Braun wrote:
>>> Once you have enough computer capacity in your house to drive roughly 5
>>> channels of 3-D HDTV to every room in the house, what else will you need?
>> Cheap and plentiful bandwidth.
> 
> That's my point. Once you have a gigE *to* your house *from* the web, each
> website has ample capacity to feed all its customers at that bit-rate, and
> you've got the ability to feed it to all your rooms, and it can all be done
> wirelessly to places beyond your house--all of which is possible right now,
> just kind of expensive--then:
> 
>   Moore's law is at a dead end.
> 
> Right now we're just seeing what price the market will bear.  Will it be
> $20/month or $400/month?  Each geographic region in the world will have
> somewhat different price points but it won't keep getting better/cheaper in
> the geometric way it has in the past.
> 
> -rich
> 
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