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On Sun, Aug 12, 2001 at 07:37:33PM -0400, Don Olivier wrote: > The message I take from Odlyzko's paper is that many of the > "connectivity issues" that trouble us today are consequences of the > desperate struggles of people facing the possible collapse of their > business models, and therefore won't last forever. That's reassuring if > you take the long view; and it might even help with short term tactics, > by suggesting good places to stick our needles. I'd like to be able to believe that... The problem, as I see it, is that AT&T seems to be rapidly becoming monopolistic in the Internet service arena. As I understand it, they have one of the largest international dial-up services (though AOL is much larger, as everyone knows), they pretty much own the cable Internet market, and own a large percentage of the Internet backbone infrastructure. A lot of the eqipment is the same equipment they have used to provide telephone service. AT&T has leveraged its assets from previous monopoly business activities to give themselves a dominant position in the ISP business. For a newcomer to compete with them, they would need to either already have huge cash resources, or make a capital investment of a size that would almost guarantee they would not be profitable for decades. AT&T scares me... And your local telephone provider is in much the same position w/regard to DSL service. They generally own the lines that their competition will be using, so you're dependent on them one way or another. It's practically impossible for a competitor to undercut their prices, because they have to lease resources from their the very people they are competing against, and depend upon them to maintain those resources in good working order. Just ask Covad how easy it is to compete with that! I've actually heard stories of Verizon stealing pairs from a competitor's existing DSL connection in order to satisfy orders. I can't say how true they are... -- --------------------------------------------------- Derek Martin | Unix/Linux geek ddm at pizzashack.org | GnuPG Key ID: 0x81CFE75D Retrieve my public key at http://pgp.mit.edu - Subcription/unsubscription/info requests: send e-mail with "subscribe", "unsubscribe", or "info" on the first line of the message body to discuss-request at blu.org (Subject line is ignored).
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