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John Chambers wrote: > A few kids resist the taunting and insults and grow up to be, well, > like the people on this list. But it's not nearly enough. We need > lots of technical workers, and we have historically gotten them from > groups of people whose children grow up thinking that education is a > good thing. This has been mostly recent immigrants, though there are > a few minority groups (we all know who they are) that instill a > pro-education attitude in their children. This is something that > isn't likely to change soon. > But is the problem that we don't have enough educated people? Were that the case, we wouldn't have thousands of us out of work while the jobs go to Mumbai and Bangalore. The problem, in my eyes, is that corporations perceive a lower cost solution off-shore. The Indian government, for example, made a conscious decision to fund a string of technical universities. Does that make the people better than ours? No, it doesn't, and it doesn't mean that we are (necessarily) undereducated. It does mean, however, that when a programmer will work for $20k there's no need to pay multiples of that. There's a perceived cost difference, but I don't think it is real. I would humbly predict that within 5 years the major corporations who've moved to offshore operations may start to bring them back because they realise the difference is illusory. The product is oftentimes inferior, requiring more time and effort to bring up to snuff. Sure, $10/hour is attractive to an employer - until it takes 3-4 times more hours to get the job done properly. Add to that the lost time due to transport delays, communication difficulties, time zone differences... Those sweat shops will dry up, unless they produce better quality. I'm seeing this in my day-to-day work. If they do, and the standard of living truly does rise there, then they will be defeated by that too. If there is a true equalisation, then there is no need to ship the jobs there because the costs will rise. But five years is a long time to wait here before you can make your mortgage payment. -Don
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