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Jerry Natowitz <j.natowitz-KealBaEQdz4 at public.gmane.org> wrote: > I was speaking with someone who suggested I look > into getting into "The Next Big Thing". ?She said she'd bet her money on > Cloud Computing. David Hummel <lemmuh-Re5JQEeQqe8AvxtiuMwx3w at public.gmane.org> wrote: >FWIW, "cloud computing" is for the most part an over-hyped marketing > term. It's shared hosting with lots of machines that have lots of >VMs running. When I was a 12-year-old, I was a little too curious. Emptied out the contents of a model-rocket engine onto a patch of dirt, took out a match and lit it. (It's gunpowder, dummy!) The firewall took out my eyelashes and all the other little hairs growing on me. Then when I was a 33-year-old, I also got a little curious about the Next Big Thing. Started up an Internet company, told all my friends it'd be a trillion-dollar industry, they all decided I must have grown three heads. But it did turn into an industry that size, as--just like I predicted--every company in the world decided they had to pile on. All at once, basically, a couple years too late for me. It blew up in my face just as surely as that rocket engine 20 years earlier. When building a career, you want controlled ignition, not the Next Big Thing. Just my $0.02. I think Cloud Computing is going to ultimately amount to exactly as much opportunity (zero) for the Little Guy as fiber-optics turned out to be 10 years ago. This is basically a way for Big Business to control a big chunk of the market, and surely they will succeed. No question, it's a next Big Thing. But don't bet your career on making money on it unless your ambition is to join a big company and then get laid off a year or three later. -rich
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