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On 02/09/2012 08:45 AM, Matthew Gillen wrote: > On 02/09/2012 03:29 AM, Shirley M?rquez D?lcey wrote: >> On 2/9/2012 2:37 AM, Tom Metro wrote: >>> In the end it is likely a mix of things already mentioned, like more HD >>> channels (clinging to the old model of overpriced channel packages), >>> higher Internet speeds, and simply cost savings by getting rid of >>> maintenance overhead for their analog plant. >> Dropping analog has a lot of justifications, and I think they're >> actually correct to do it. Dropping ClearQAM for basic channels does >> not; it's no more difficult to digitally encode without encryption than >> with it. I suppose it makes their support problem slightly simpler (no >> guiding people through setting up their TV sets) but that's unlikely to >> be a big enough deal to matter. > My understanding is that the encryption isn't really a business goal of > the cable companies, but rather a requirement that is being forced on > them by the content producers. The content producers can say "you need > to pay us X to carry our content if you encrypt, or pay us 10x if you > don't encrypt, to compensate us for the additional risk of piracy". > > Look at it this way: the move to encryption forced them to give away a > lot of decryptor devices to existing customers to keep them from > screaming bloody murder. That's a big up-front investment. You might > say that they will make it back over the long run by charging a fee on > top of their costs for the future customers' set-top-boxes, but that's a > risky bet. The FCC could swing back and outlaw encryption (b/c it > renders FCC-mandated controls like the V-Chip useless), consumers could > find another venue to spend their money, etc. > > It's my opinion that the content producers (following the MPAA/RIAA > example) are grossly over-estimating the "piracy problem" (esp. in terms > of how much money they are "losing"), and therefore grossly > over-reacting in terms of the political pressure they are applying, and > the additional costs they are bundling into their products. > > It's gotten to the point where I've /almost/ convinced my wife that we > should dump our cable service, and just do mythv OTA. > > In the long run, I'm confident that they are just creating more room for > novel 'content providers', who are novel in their content distribution > models as much as their content, to step in and eat their lunch (e.g. > look up Lewis C.K.'s recent foray into self-publishing video of his > stand-up routine: bottom line was that he made a boatload more money > than he ever did doing deals with HBO Specials, and he did it with no > DRM). More to the point, my wife and kids (who watch all the tv in our > house) watch as much off the internet as they do off our cable service. > > So I'm sort of torn. On the one hand my instinct is to fight their > political pressure to bend rules in ways that break my MythTV. On the > other, the more success they have (from their point of view) at > protecting the business model they had in the pre-VCR days, the faster > they will become irrelevant... One additional reason the cable companies want to encrypt is to prevent theft. Especially in apartment complexes signal theft was pretty high. I don't know if that is still an issue. -- Jerry Feldman <gaf at blu.org> Boston Linux and Unix PGP key id:3BC1EB90 PGP Key fingerprint: 49E2 C52A FC5A A31F 8D66 C0AF 7CEA 30FC 3BC1 EB90
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